AB 1840 — Political Reform Act of 1974: prediction market contracts.
Last action — In committee: Set, second hearing. Hearing canceled at the request of author.
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1Introduced
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2In Committee
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3Passed Assembly
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4Passed Senate
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5To Executive
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6Enacted
This bill has been introduced in the Assembly. Introduced February 11, 2026. It must pass committee before a floor vote.
Next likely step: a committee referral and hearing.
Odds of enactment
Low chanceBased on the sponsor, cosponsors, and committee posture, this bill has a low chance of becoming law.
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A statistical estimate from our own model of past outcomes — an insight, not a guarantee. Policymaking is volatile.
Prognosis
Not enough signal yet to read this bill's trajectory — we surface a likelihood only once there's real movement (stage, sponsorship, committee, or votes) to point to.
Based on stage, sponsorship breadth, committee status, recorded votes, and cross-state momentum — a description of the observable signals, not a prediction.
Summary
The Political Reform Act of 1974 provides for the comprehensive regulation of political campaigns, lobbying, and other matters relating to governmental ethics and elections. The act prohibits a lobbyist or lobbying firm from, among other things, accepting or agreeing to accept a payment that is in any way contingent upon the defeat, enactment, or outcome of any proposed legislative or administrative action. The act also prohibits a public official at any level of state or local government from making, participating in making, or in any way attempting to use the public official's official position to influence a governmental decision in which the official knows or has reason to know the official has a financial interest, as defined. This bill would prohibit specified officials, employees, and lobbyists from engaging in transactions involving prediction market contracts, as defined, if before or at the time of the transaction, the specified individual possesses, or it is reasonably foreseeable the specified individual may obtain in the course of their official duties, material nonpublic information, as defined, relating to the transaction. A violation of the Political Reform Act of 1974 is punishable as a misdemeanor. By creating a new crime, this bill would impose a state-mandated local program. The California Constitution requires the state to reimburse local agencies and school districts for certain costs mandated by the state. Statutory provisions establish procedures for making that reimbursement. This bill would provide that no reimbursement is required by this act for a specified reason. The Political Reform Act of 1974, an initiative measure, provides that the Legislature may amend the act to further the act's purposes upon a 23 vote of each house of the Legislature and compliance with specified procedural requirements. This bill would declare that it furthers the purposes of the act.
Bill Text
What changed in the latest version
1 added · 1 removedPlain-language change summary
The bill AB 1840 has been updated to include additional wording that clarifies specific provisions. This change helps to ensure the intent of the law is clearer and can be more easily understood by those affected by it. Such clarity can lead to better compliance and implementation of the law, making it more effective in addressing the issues it aims to resolve.
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View plain text versions (2)
- Introduced 02/11/26 - Introduced Current pdf February 11, 2026
- AB1840 View text html
Action History
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In committee: Set, second hearing. Hearing canceled at the request of author.
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In committee: Set, first hearing. Hearing canceled at the request of author.
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Referred to Com. on ELECTIONS.
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From printer. May be heard in committee March 14.
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Read first time. To print.
Sponsors
- Kate Sanchez · Primary
Sponsorship breakdown
Export CSV (upgrade) →1 sponsors · 0 co-sponsors · 121 not signed on
Sponsors (1)
- Sanchez, Kate Republican
Co-sponsors (0)
None.
Not signed on (121)
121 members have not signed on to this bill.
Show all 121 →"Not signed on" means a member has not sponsored or co-sponsored this bill — it does not imply opposition. Members flagged Voted No have a recorded No vote on this bill.
Subjects
Frequently asked questions
- What does AB 1840 do?
- The Political Reform Act of 1974 provides for the comprehensive regulation of political campaigns, lobbying, and other matters relating to governmental ethics and elections. The act prohibits a lobbyist or lobbying firm from, among other things, accepting or agreeing to accept a payment that is in any way contingent upon the defeat, enactment, or outcome of any proposed legislative or administrative action. The act also prohibits a public official at any level of state or local government from making, participating in making, or in any way attempting to use the public official's official position to influence a governmental decision in which the official knows or has reason to know the official has a financial interest, as defined. This bill would prohibit specified officials, employees, and lobbyists from engaging in transactions involving prediction market contracts, as defined, if before or at the time of the transaction, the specified individual possesses, or it is reasonably foreseeable the specified individual may obtain in the course of their official duties, material nonpublic information, as defined, relating to the transaction. A violation of the Political Reform Act of 1974 is punishable as a misdemeanor. By creating a new crime, this bill would impose a state-mandated local program. The California Constitution requires the state to reimburse local agencies and school districts for certain costs mandated by the state. Statutory provisions establish procedures for making that reimbursement. This bill would provide that no reimbursement is required by this act for a specified reason. The Political Reform Act of 1974, an initiative measure, provides that the Legislature may amend the act to further the act's purposes upon a 23 vote of each house of the Legislature and compliance with specified procedural requirements. This bill would declare that it furthers the purposes of the act.
- Who sponsors AB 1840?
- AB 1840 is sponsored by Sanchez, Kate (Republican).
- What is the current status of AB 1840?
- This bill has been introduced in the Assembly. Introduced February 11, 2026. It must pass committee before a floor vote.
- Where can I track AB 1840?
- Track AB 1840 free on One Click Politics — get push/email alerts when it moves.
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Last checked for changes 3 months ago · updated continuously
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