Illinois 104th General Assembly Status: Introduced 2 D cosponsors

SB4168      — PREDICTION MARKETS REGULATION

Last action — Added as Chief Co-Sponsor Sen. Cristina Castro

  1. 1
    Introduced
  2. 2
    In Committee
  3. 3
    Passed Senate
  4. 4
    Passed House
  5. 5
    To Executive
  6. 6
    Enacted

This bill has been introduced in the Senate. Introduced March 05, 2026. It must pass committee before a floor vote.

Next likely step: a committee referral and hearing.

Prognosis

Not enough signal yet

Where this bill stands today.

Odds of enactment

Low

How often bills like it became law.

Not enough signal yet to read this bill's trajectory — we surface a likelihood only once there's real movement (stage, sponsorship, committee, or votes) to point to.

Prognosis reads this bill's own signals — stage, sponsorship breadth, committee status, recorded votes and cross-state momentum. Odds come from a model trained on which bills have become law.

Summary

Creates the Prediction Markets Regulation and Taxation Act. Includes findings and legislative intent provisions. Provides that no person shall operate a prediction market offering qualifying prediction market contracts to Illinois residents without first obtaining a master prediction market license from the Illinois Gaming Board and paying a $1,000,000 license fee to the Board. Provides that the master prediction market license is renewable annually upon payment of a $1,000,000 renewal fee and a determination of the Board that the licensee meets the requirements of the Act and the Board's rules. Requires the Board to adopt rules for licensing and establishes provisions concerning construction of the Act. Provides that the State shall impose and collect a privilege tax equal to 50% of a platform operator's adjusted gross receipts derived from qualifying prediction market contracts placed by or with Illinois residents. Sets forth provisions concerning additional requirements for the tax. Provides that violation of the Act shall constitute unlicensed gambling under the Criminal Code of 2012 and may result in cease and desist orders, civil penalties, license revocation, or referral for criminal prosecution. Grants the Board rulemaking authority to implement the Act. Amends the Criminal Code of 2012. Provides that, in addition to existing provisions, a person commits gambling when the person knowingly violates the Prediction Markets Regulation and Taxation Act.

Bill Text

We don't have the full text on file for this bill yet.

Read SB4168 on the official Illinois source →

Action History

  1. Added as Chief Co-Sponsor Sen. Cristina Castro

  2. Referred to Assignments

  3. First Reading

  4. Filed with Secretary by Sen. Michael E. Hastings

Sponsors

Sponsorship breakdown

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1 sponsors · 1 co-sponsors · 181 not signed on

Sponsors (1)

Co-sponsors (1)

Not signed on (181)

181 members have not signed on to this bill.

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"Not signed on" means a member has not sponsored or co-sponsored this bill — it does not imply opposition. Members flagged Voted No have a recorded No vote on this bill.

Whip count is in markup. Polling the chamber and every recorded vote this session. Only the first open is slow. It’s instant for you after this. Calling the roll · Tallying · Engrossing

Subjects

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Frequently asked questions

What does SB4168      do?
Creates the Prediction Markets Regulation and Taxation Act. Includes findings and legislative intent provisions. Provides that no person shall operate a prediction market offering qualifying prediction market contracts to Illinois residents without first obtaining a master prediction market license from the Illinois Gaming Board and paying a $1,000,000 license fee to the Board. Provides that the master prediction market license is renewable annually upon payment of a $1,000,000 renewal fee and a determination of the Board that the licensee meets the requirements of the Act and the Board's rules. Requires the Board to adopt rules for licensing and establishes provisions concerning construction of the Act. Provides that the State shall impose and collect a privilege tax equal to 50% of a platform operator's adjusted gross receipts derived from qualifying prediction market contracts placed by or with Illinois residents. Sets forth provisions concerning additional requirements for the tax. Provides that violation of the Act shall constitute unlicensed gambling under the Criminal Code of 2012 and may result in cease and desist orders, civil penalties, license revocation, or referral for criminal prosecution. Grants the Board rulemaking authority to implement the Act. Amends the Criminal Code of 2012. Provides that, in addition to existing provisions, a person commits gambling when the person knowingly violates the Prediction Markets Regulation and Taxation Act.
Who sponsors SB4168     ?
SB4168      is sponsored by Michael E. Hastings (Democrat) and Cristina Castro (Democrat).
What is the current status of SB4168     ?
This bill has been introduced in the Senate. Introduced March 05, 2026. It must pass committee before a floor vote.
Where can I track SB4168     ?
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Last checked for changes 3 months ago · updated continuously

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